Research. With a source for every claim.
Notes on digital twins, natural hazards and the science of forecasting.
Photo: Gilley Aguilar · Unsplash LicenseClimate risk, hazards and forecasting.
We write about climate risk in Greece, from wildfires and floods to water shortage and population change, and about the methods behind forecasting. Every article links to public sources, so you can check each claim. We do not present results of our own before they exist.
Climate change in Greece: what the data actually show
Climate change in Greece, in data: record summers, drought, wildfires, the national adaptation strategy and what Greeks think. Every figure sourced.
2026-11-04 · 7 min read
Desalination: can it solve water scarcity on Greece's islands?
Desalination explained for Greece: how reverse osmosis works, how much energy it uses, the brine problem, and how it compares with fixing leaks.
2026-11-04 · 6 min read
Flood hazard maps in Greece: how to find the map for your area
What a flood hazard map shows, what the EU Floods Directive requires, and how to find the official flood maps for your area in Greece, step by step.
2026-11-04 · 6 min read
What is climate risk? Physical vs transition risk, explained
What is climate risk? Plain definitions of physical and transition risk from IPCC, TCFD, ISSB, ECB and NGFS, with Greek and Mediterranean examples.
2026-11-04 · 6 min read
Drought vs water scarcity: what is the difference, and how is each measured?
Drought vs water scarcity: one is weather, the other is demand outrunning supply. How the EU measures each (SPEI, CDI, WEI+) and what it shows for Greece.
2026-11-04 · 6 min read
Heatwaves in Greece: from 1987 to today, in data
Greece heatwaves from 1987 to today: the 1987 mortality data, record summers, hot nights in Athens, heat stroke advice and where to find warnings.
2026-11-04 · 6 min read
Greece wildfires: how the daily fire risk map works, and what it does not tell you
Greece wildfires: how the official daily fire risk map works, what categories 1 to 5 mean, and how it differs from a long-term exposure model.
2026-11-04 · 5 min read
Water shortage in Greece: what the data says, and how scenarios help
What is water shortage, and how serious is it in Greece? Official EYDAP reservoir data for Attica, EU indicators, and why scenarios beat one forecast.
2026-11-04 · 5 min read
What-if analysis vs scenario analysis: a plain guide
What-if analysis vs scenario analysis: what each one is, when to use which, and simple examples for a municipality and a business.
2026-11-04 · 5 min read
The urban heat island in Athens and Thessaloniki, and why the nights matter
What the urban heat island is, what studies show for Athens and Thessaloniki, why hot nights matter for health, and what cities can do about it.
2026-11-04 · 5 min read
Agent-based models, explained, and how to use them without profiling people
What an agent based model is, from Schelling's segregation model to epidemic and evacuation simulations, and how to build one on aggregate data.
2026-11-04 · 6 min read
Greece's population in 2026: the decline in official numbers and projections
Greece population in 2026: the 2021 census counted 10.48 million, 3.1% fewer than 2011. What Eurostat projects for 2050 and 2100, and what ageing means.
2026-11-04 · 6 min read
Storm Daniel and flood risk in Thessaly: what the satellites mapped
Storm Daniel brought record rain to Thessaly in September 2023. What Copernicus EMS mapped during the Greece floods, and the lessons for flood planning.
2026-11-04 · 6 min read
Digital twin examples: from aircraft and factories to cities and the planet
Five real digital twin examples, checked against official sources: NASA's concept, a BMW factory, Virtual Singapore, Helsinki 3D and Destination Earth.
2026-11-04 · 6 min read
What is a digital twin, and why is Europe building one of the planet?
A plain guide to digital twins: what they are, how they differ from a map, and what the EU's Destination Earth shows about where they are heading.
2026-11-03 · 5 min read
The 2023 Evros wildfire, and what a digital twin could add
In 2023 a fire in Evros, Greece, became the largest EU wildfire recorded since 2000. What it shows, and where digital twins can help planning.
2026-11-03 · 5 min read
How to read a forecast: when "likely" is a number
Why good forecasts give ranges, how the IPCC turns words like "likely" into probabilities, and what research says about forecasting better.
2026-11-03 · 4 min read
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