Photo: Karori Production · Unsplash LicenseFig 01 · Mirror
Copy the system
Combine open and partner data into one structured model of a place, a market or a population.
Digital twins · Forecasting · Greece first
A living copy of the real world. So you can see what's coming.
Kassandra Labs builds digital twins: data models of places, systems and societies that AI can run forward to test risks and outcomes before they happen.
- 05 use cases
- 04 steps, all checkable
- EU data, GDPR first
- Observed
- Likely range
- Threshold
Audit trail
Every step traceable.
IllustrativeGreece first
37.98°N 23.73°E
Illustrative01 · What a digital twin is
Not a crystal ball. A model you can question, test and check against reality.
A digital twin is a data model of a real place or system: its parts, how they affect each other, and how it changes when new observations arrive. Digital twin AI runs that model forward many times, so you see a range of outcomes instead of a single guess. A twin is only as good as its data and its honesty about what it does not know.
Photo: Karori Production · Unsplash LicenseFig 02 · Simulate
IllustrativeRun it forward
Change one input, such as heat, rainfall or turnout, and see how the rest of the system responds.
Fig 03 · Foresee
IllustrativeSee the range
Get likely ranges with stated uncertainty and sources, not a single confident guess.
02 · Use cases
Five areas where seeing ahead matters most.
Every twin starts from a specific question asked by a real user: a planner, a researcher, a municipality or a business. These are the five areas we are starting with, from wildfire and flood risk to population change and climate risk for business. Early pilot partners shape this list.
/01
Climate & disasters
Wildfire, flood, heat and earthquake scenarios for planners and responders.
/02
Elections & society
Model how opinion and participation might shift, for research and public debate.
/03
Migration & population
Explore ageing, movement and flows across regions and islands.
/04
/05
Business & investment
Stress-test plans and portfolios against changing conditions.
03 · How it works
From raw data to a decision. Every step traceable.
We gather open data, organise it into a model of the system, run many scenarios and present the results in plain language and maps. Each step records its sources, assumptions and limits, so anyone can check how a result was reached. As time passes, we compare forecasts with what actually happened.
- Step 1
Data
Open public datasets plus partner data, checked and documented at the source.
- Step 2
Twin
A structured model of the system and how its parts affect each other.
- Step 3
Scenarios
AI runs many possible futures and shows the spread, not one answer.
- Step 4
Decisions
Clear outputs for planners, researchers and investors, with assumptions shown.
Photo: Taylor Vick · Unsplash LicensePrinciples we follow
- Ranges, not certainties. Every forecast comes with its uncertainty.
- Open sources. We say where every dataset comes from.
- Checked against reality. We measure how well our forecasts did.
- People decide. The twin supports human judgement; it does not replace it.
04 · Why Greece first
A country that lives with fire, flood, heat and earthquakes.
Greece packs islands, mountains, dense cities and seasonal populations into one territory. That makes it demanding to model and a strong place to start. We begin where we know the ground, then expand.
If a twin works here, it can work elsewhere.
Photo: Constantinos Kollias · Unsplash LicenseExample questionIllustrative
How many high-risk fire days could an island region see next summer?
ExampleIllustrative
Where in a city will night-time heat stay highest during a heatwave?
Block-level map
ExampleIllustrative
How might a region's working-age population change over 20 years?
Today+20 years
05 · Security principles
Research worth protecting. Built that way from day one.
Twins combine sensitive data about infrastructure, populations and businesses. We protect it as if it were our own, with encryption, least-privilege access and a full audit trail. We are at concept stage, so we describe principles and do not claim certifications we do not hold yet.
Photo: Denny Müller · Unsplash LicenseEncrypted by default
Data encrypted in transit and at rest.
Least-privilege access
Each partner sees only their own project.
EU data, GDPR first
Personal data minimised and handled in line with the GDPR.
Full audit trail
Every dataset, model run and change is logged.
06 · Research
Notes on twins, risk and forecasting.
Notes on digital twins, natural hazards and the science of forecasting, with a source for every claim. We write about Greek wildfires, floods, urban heat and population change, and about the methods behind scenario analysis.
Explainer
What is a digital twin, and why is Europe building one of the planet?
A plain guide to digital twins: what they are, how they differ from a map, and what the EU's Destination Earth shows about where they are heading.
2026-11-03 · 5 min read
Climate & disasters
The 2023 Evros wildfire, and what a digital twin could add
In 2023 a fire in Evros, Greece, became the largest EU wildfire recorded since 2000. What it shows, and where digital twins can help planning.
2026-11-03 · 5 min read
Forecasting
How to read a forecast: when "likely" is a number
Why good forecasts give ranges, how the IPCC turns words like "likely" into probabilities, and what research says about forecasting better.
Climate & disasters
Greece wildfires: how the daily fire risk map works, and what it does not tell you
Greece wildfires: how the official daily fire risk map works, what categories 1 to 5 mean, and how it differs from a long-term exposure model.
2026-11-04 · 5 min read
Climate & disasters
Storm Daniel and flood risk in Thessaly: what the satellites mapped
Storm Daniel brought record rain to Thessaly in September 2023. What Copernicus EMS mapped during the Greece floods, and the lessons for flood planning.
2026-11-04 · 6 min read
Cities
The urban heat island in Athens and Thessaloniki, and why the nights matter
What the urban heat island is, what studies show for Athens and Thessaloniki, why hot nights matter for health, and what cities can do about it.
2026-11-04 · 5 min read
Population
Greece's population in 2026: the decline in official numbers and projections
Greece population in 2026: the 2021 census counted 10.48 million, 3.1% fewer than 2011. What Eurostat projects for 2050 and 2100, and what ageing means.
2026-11-04 · 6 min read
The name
In the myth, Kassandra saw the future and no one believed her. We build foresight people can check, and so can trust.
Warnings often exist, but they do not convince. That is why we build forecasts that can be checked: we show the data, the assumptions and the uncertainty, so that whoever decides can trust what they see. Our story →
Early access
Help shape the first twins.
Researchers, municipalities, public bodies and businesses: join the waitlist or apply to be a pilot partner.
Concept stage. No product is live yet.